Essays on Consumer Heterogeneity and Monetary Policy
thesis
posted on 2025-10-27, 19:29authored byAina Puig
<p dir="ltr">Government policies affect individuals in diverse ways. Analyzing variation in consumer responses across demographic groups provides insight into the drivers of aggregate economic behavior. This dissertation investigates consumer heterogeneity and its interaction with fiscal and monetary policy, with a particular focus on differences by race and gender. I estimate how these group differences are reflected in consumption, saving, and labor market outcomes.</p><p dir="ltr">In the first chapter, I study racial differences in consumption and saving behavior using data from a new survey I collected and a quantitative life-cycle model. In my survey, marginal propensities to consume (MPCs) are higher among black than white respondents, even after adjusting for characteristics such as age, education, and income. In the Consumer Expenditure Survey, black households consume a higher share of visible goods out of overall consumption than white households to signal status. To match these facts, I introduce status compensation motives into a standard life-cycle model. The status mechanism can account for 36% of the racial difference in MPCs. I also use my model to analyze policies that address the racial wealth gap.</p><p dir="ltr">In the second chapter, I find evidence that contractionary monetary policy shocks increase consumption inequality by gender and race, along with increasing unemployment and income inequality. Following a 25 basis point contractionary shock, spending on durable goods falls by 7.5% for households headed by black women, while only 5% for households headed by white men. Contractionary shocks also lead households to substitute expenditures on essentials for non-essentials and durable goods. Household characteristics such as education, debt, income, or composition do not explain all gender and racial differences in consumption.</p><p dir="ltr">In the third chapter, I use data from my survey to analyze consumer reactions to Federal Reserve communications. I find that MPCs and planned spending are positively correlated with inflation expectations. Inflation expectations are higher for black than white respondents, even when accounting for other characteristics. Receiving information on Fed communications leads to meaningful revisions in expectations. Respondents that follow the news and have low trust in the Fed react less to communications, while those with high MPCs react more to communications.</p>
History
Publisher
ProQuest
Language
English
Committee chair
Xuguang Simon Sheng
Committee member(s)
Mieke Meurs; Juan Montecino
Degree discipline
Economics
Degree grantor
American University. School of Economics
Degree level
Doctoral
Degree name
Ph.D. in Economics, American University, August 2025
Local identifier
Puig_american_0008E_12389.pdf
Media type
application/pdf
Pagination
199 pages
Access statement
Electronic thesis is restricted to authorized American University users only, per author's request.